STATISTICAL INFERENCE + EVIDENCE APPRAISAL
YEAR 1 | PAGE 17B - P-VALUES, CONFIDENCE INTERVALS, POWER, BIAS + CLINICAL EVIDENCE
INTERPRET BEFORE YOU CALCULATE
Move from QUESTION -> ESTIMATE/EFFECT SIZE -> UNCERTAINTY -> VALIDITY -> APPLICABILITY. Statistical significance is not the same as clinical importance, and a p-value is not the probability that the null hypothesis is true.
B. INFERENCE + EBM VIDEOS - CORE + ENRICHMENT
| # | Video | Time | Why | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | p-values: What They Are and How to Interpret Them - StatQuest | ~10 min | Conceptual meaning of the p-value, significance thresholds and why p-values do not tell you effect size or clinical importance. | Open → |
| 2. | Confidence Intervals, Clearly Explained - StatQuest | concept bridge | Use interval width and null values to judge precision and statistical compatibility; connect CI interpretation to effect estimates. | Open → |
| 3. | Power Analysis, Clearly Explained - StatQuest | ~15 min | Type II error, statistical power and how sample size/effect size/variability change the probability of detecting a true effect. | Open → |
| 4. | An Introduction to Evidence Based Medicine - Strong Medicine | EBM foundation | Hierarchy of evidence, clinical questions and the role of research evidence within clinical expertise and patient-centered decisions. | Open → |
| 5. | How to Appraise a Clinical Trial - Part 2 - Strong Medicine | ~26 min | Randomization, controls, blinding, allocation concealment, sample size, endpoints and intention-to-treat vs per-protocol analysis. | Open → |
| 6. | How to Appraise a Clinical Trial - Part 3 - Strong Medicine | ~26 min | Surrogate/composite endpoints, systematic bias, validity and statistical vs clinical significance; closes the appraisal loop. | Open → |
B. INFERENCE + EBM VIDEOS - CORE + ENRICHMENT — EVIDENCE INTERPRETATION CHECK
- Distinguish Type I vs Type II error, power, confidence interval and p-value without substituting one concept for another.
- Recognize confounding, selection, recall, measurement/observer, lead-time and length-time bias; know which design feature mitigates each.
- Separate statistical significance from effect size, precision, clinical significance and generalizability.
- For an RCT or abstract: identify PICO, primary endpoint, randomization/blinding, attrition, analysis population, effect estimate and applicability. VIDEO-FIRST | SCHOOL-EXAM + BOARD-EXAM MASTERY